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The legendary forecaster Nate Silver joins us to present a new paradigm of politics and power that will shape the world for decades to come.

Already a legend in the world of professional poker, Nate Silver first came to fame forecasting baseball and other sports. But it was his ability to predict the Presidential Election results with extreme accuracy that truly made Nate and his site FiveThirtyEight major players in global media.

Now Nate joins us live in conversation in London – and as ever, his is the one voice in politics you cannot afford to ignore. Behind the election headlines Nate has identified a new paradigm of power with global importance.

This power belongs to a new class of professional risk-takers – including VCs, gamblers, tech moguls like Elon Musk and Sam Altman, and crypto-kings like Sam Bankman-Fried. This class, which Silver calls “The River”, drive progress: but they can also cause chaos. And despite plenty of bad press, the risk-takers are winning against their counterparts in government, academia and the media…

As a professional risk taker himself, Nate Silver understands firsthand how these new powerbrokers operate and what drives their success. In this live, In Conversation event, he will share his insights and advice for learning to manage risk, and reflect more widely on the future of democracy and the global economy in this new paradigm. 

Taking us behind-the-scenes from casinos to venture capital firms to meetings of the effective altruism movement, this all-access journey from the frontiers of finance to the future of AI with one of the essential thought leaders of our time.